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Schwab US Small-Cap ETF

SCHA-US · NYSE Amex
$34.69-1.03%
2026-08-05 close · prelim
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CloseMA20MA60MA120
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Cross
Golden Cross (5_20, 0d ago)
Moving-average alignment
Yes · score 0.33
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Strong-buy signal — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every strong-buy pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-07-09)

Last 30 sessions
1,791 picks
Next-day win rate
56.3%
Avg next-day
+0.16%
vs market
+0.14%p

Beat the market on 53% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
07-08 30%07-07 66.7%07-06 40%07-02 50%07-01 16.7%06-30 75%06-27 43.4%06-26 57.7%06-25 76.9%06-24 62.8%06-23 35.9%06-21 68%
This stock flashed this signal 1 time over the last ~2 years (see the signal history below for each date).

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2001
Distress zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 0.10
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
0.10
Beneish M-Score
-3.95

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-36.61%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

3/9Weak

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score3/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROANot passed
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Margin trendWarning

영업이익률 악화 (4.7% → -0.3%, -5.0%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Margin trendWarning

영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 388% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
-0.3%
Interest coverage
-4.7x
Return on equity (ROE)
-3.9%

Operating margin −5pp

Operating loss
Interest coverageBase -4.7x adverse case -92x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -3.9% adverse case -63%

Revenue −15%

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase -4.7x adverse case -4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -3.9% adverse case -3.4%

Interest rate +2pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase -4.7x adverse case -0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -3.9% adverse case -26.4%

Interest coverage limit

Already below the limit by 0.3pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.1%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Schwab US Small-Cap ETF's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Customers
Alyeska Investment Groupretail investors
🔗 See in the full market map →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

Strong buy (52w high + volume)×1
26-07-14·
52-week high breakout×9
26-06-30-9.1%26-06-25-4.9%26-06-22-2.1%26-06-15-1.6%26-06-12-0.5%26-06-04+2.3%26-06-02+4.2%26-05-28+4.2%26-05-27+5.2%
New MA alignment×5
26-08-05·26-06-24-1.8%26-06-18-3.5%26-06-11-0.1%26-06-04+2.3%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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